This is my in conclusion postal service earlier the coming Segwit hard fork. Note that I produce non possess got access to miners, developers or whales. These observations are my ain in addition to they are deduced from the available world data accessible to everyone. Do non convey this every bit investment advise. If it helps you .... You're Welcome.
A Once In H5N1 Lifetime Golden Opportunity For Bitcoin Miners
Segwit2X futures are trading at 0.15 BTC. If you lot are a miner supporting Segwit2X, tin ship away you lot exceed upwards on this chance to brand a quick, clean, in addition to legal, turn a profit of 5X on your investment, inwards a province of affairs where the upshot of the lawsuit is inwards your (industry) control?
If it all plant out for the miners, in addition to they reap this huge windfall, you lot cannot criticise or sue them for beingness deceitful or for insider trading because they possess got truly signed an understanding publicly stating that it was just what they are going to do. They can't live blamed if you lot did non believe them.
As a miner they are inwards concern to brand money. We fifty-fifty assumed that this turn a profit motive drives them to mine the most profitable coin. Mining margins afterward costs are at best small, in addition to it may convey years to recover their investments. Why would they non convey wages of this golden opportunity? H5N1 meg dollars "invested" volition nett them at to the lowest degree v million, afterward BT2 is declared to live the novel Bitcoin.
Major companies similar Blockchain.info, Bitpay, Xapo in addition to Coinbase possess got publicly stated that they volition recognise the chain amongst the most accumulated hash ability (hashrate x blocks) every bit BTC. This calculation will not convey into concern human relationship the cost of BT1 or BT2. This agency that if a bulk of them (miners) are supporting Segwit2X thus Segwit2X volition instruct BTC. Note that it needs merely a bulk in addition to non lxxx or 90%.
Opaque messages from exchanges recognising Segwit1X every bit BTC. Eg. HitBtc
1) "On the twenty-four hours Segwit is activated B2X withdrawal in addition to deposits enabled". All it agency is that they volition merchandise B2X, in addition to if B2X instruct BTC thus live it, if non they volition merchandise it every bit a token. It agency zero really. Just stating the obvious.
2) "We may temporarily suspend BTC deposits in addition to withdrawal ...... in ane lawsuit nosotros are certain it is safe, nosotros volition restore total functionality"
It is truly the same policy every bit Coinbase. They did non insist that if B2X has to a greater extent than accumulated hashrate, they volition withal process B1X every bit BTC, because they can't. No client volition possess got that trade. So it is clear that fifty-fifty if exchanges order that they prefer Segwit1X to live BTC they withal possess got to hold off till the province of affairs resolves. It is merely a PR stunt or it may live construed to confuse every bit they may likewise live bully to confine inwards on this "golden opportunity".
Trading volumes were low-cal inwards the begining but similar a shot amongst 10 days to go, the 24 hr book possess got reached 5700 in addition to increasing. It is conceivable that nosotros could possess got 100,000 or to a greater extent than contracts outstanding at the fork. This could easily instruct the tape unmarried Billion dollar wealth transfer lawsuit inwards the history of Bitcoin.
So why would anybody convey the opposing persuasion if they stand upwards to lose that much money?
Perhaps they are committed (Blockstream) in addition to possess got to protect their position. Perhaps they are putting upwards their money to protect their principles (misguided), or peradventure they merely can't come across the forest for the trees. The truth is - They are non inwards control. The miners are. We possess got to at to the lowest degree await that human beings volition human activeness inwards their ain self interest.
Group 1 losers : Bitcoiners, in addition to novel bitcoin converts who believe that they volition live getting Segwit2X coins every bit dividends which they tin ship away chop-chop sell for a profit. (ALA Bitcoin Cash). See my in conclusion postal service on No Segwit2X Dividends. No dividends but they volition withal possess got their BTC.
Group two losers : Investors who buy Segwit1X futures thinking that they are getting BTC at a discount. 100% loss if Segwit2X wins every bit the Segwit1X chain is unlikely to survive.
Group iii losers : Those who believe that miners volition mine the most profitable money in addition to thus component inwards the futurity cost of BT1 in addition to BT2, but every bit stated above, cost is non a component inwards calculating accumulated difficulty. If you lot truly remember virtually it, the most profitable alternative for miners is the windfall scenario.
If Miners End Up Supporting Segwit1X
In the unlikely lawsuit that miners terminate upwards supporting Segwit1X, they volition possess got to respond to why they reneged on their give-and-take in addition to agreement. There could live cast activeness legal suits (against NYA signatories) flight virtually from the people who lost money trusting them. Why would they sully their reputation in addition to chance the wrath of these investors. Sticking to their give-and-take in addition to understanding is the most profitable in addition to safest course of pedagogy of action.
The Battle For Bitcoin Cash To Become Bitcoin Is Not over.
Bitcoin Cash is non an Alt Coin. It is withal inwards the running together amongst Segwit1X in addition to Segwit2X to live the existent Bitcoin. They all possess got the genesis block in addition to compete for the same hash power. The tussle betwixt Bitcoin Cash in addition to Segwit since the in conclusion fork is withal continuing. It has similar a shot morph into a tussle betwixt Bitcoin Cash, Segwit1X in addition to Segwit2X. In this coming fork Bitcoin Cash is non inwards the running for the championship of BTC because it is previous post. However, inwards the long run alone ane money tin ship away move on the Bitcoin proof of work. This has implications if you lot are a fund manager.
A Once In H5N1 Lifetime Golden Opportunity For Bitcoin Miners
Segwit2X futures are trading at 0.15 BTC. If you lot are a miner supporting Segwit2X, tin ship away you lot exceed upwards on this chance to brand a quick, clean, in addition to legal, turn a profit of 5X on your investment, inwards a province of affairs where the upshot of the lawsuit is inwards your (industry) control?
If it all plant out for the miners, in addition to they reap this huge windfall, you lot cannot criticise or sue them for beingness deceitful or for insider trading because they possess got truly signed an understanding publicly stating that it was just what they are going to do. They can't live blamed if you lot did non believe them.
As a miner they are inwards concern to brand money. We fifty-fifty assumed that this turn a profit motive drives them to mine the most profitable coin. Mining margins afterward costs are at best small, in addition to it may convey years to recover their investments. Why would they non convey wages of this golden opportunity? H5N1 meg dollars "invested" volition nett them at to the lowest degree v million, afterward BT2 is declared to live the novel Bitcoin.
Major companies similar Blockchain.info, Bitpay, Xapo in addition to Coinbase possess got publicly stated that they volition recognise the chain amongst the most accumulated hash ability (hashrate x blocks) every bit BTC. This calculation will not convey into concern human relationship the cost of BT1 or BT2. This agency that if a bulk of them (miners) are supporting Segwit2X thus Segwit2X volition instruct BTC. Note that it needs merely a bulk in addition to non lxxx or 90%.
Opaque messages from exchanges recognising Segwit1X every bit BTC. Eg. HitBtc
1) "On the twenty-four hours Segwit is activated B2X withdrawal in addition to deposits enabled". All it agency is that they volition merchandise B2X, in addition to if B2X instruct BTC thus live it, if non they volition merchandise it every bit a token. It agency zero really. Just stating the obvious.
2) "We may temporarily suspend BTC deposits in addition to withdrawal ...... in ane lawsuit nosotros are certain it is safe, nosotros volition restore total functionality"
It is truly the same policy every bit Coinbase. They did non insist that if B2X has to a greater extent than accumulated hashrate, they volition withal process B1X every bit BTC, because they can't. No client volition possess got that trade. So it is clear that fifty-fifty if exchanges order that they prefer Segwit1X to live BTC they withal possess got to hold off till the province of affairs resolves. It is merely a PR stunt or it may live construed to confuse every bit they may likewise live bully to confine inwards on this "golden opportunity".
Trading volumes were low-cal inwards the begining but similar a shot amongst 10 days to go, the 24 hr book possess got reached 5700 in addition to increasing. It is conceivable that nosotros could possess got 100,000 or to a greater extent than contracts outstanding at the fork. This could easily instruct the tape unmarried Billion dollar wealth transfer lawsuit inwards the history of Bitcoin.
So why would anybody convey the opposing persuasion if they stand upwards to lose that much money?
Perhaps they are committed (Blockstream) in addition to possess got to protect their position. Perhaps they are putting upwards their money to protect their principles (misguided), or peradventure they merely can't come across the forest for the trees. The truth is - They are non inwards control. The miners are. We possess got to at to the lowest degree await that human beings volition human activeness inwards their ain self interest.
Group 1 losers : Bitcoiners, in addition to novel bitcoin converts who believe that they volition live getting Segwit2X coins every bit dividends which they tin ship away chop-chop sell for a profit. (ALA Bitcoin Cash). See my in conclusion postal service on No Segwit2X Dividends. No dividends but they volition withal possess got their BTC.
Group iii losers : Those who believe that miners volition mine the most profitable money in addition to thus component inwards the futurity cost of BT1 in addition to BT2, but every bit stated above, cost is non a component inwards calculating accumulated difficulty. If you lot truly remember virtually it, the most profitable alternative for miners is the windfall scenario.
If Miners End Up Supporting Segwit1X
In the unlikely lawsuit that miners terminate upwards supporting Segwit1X, they volition possess got to respond to why they reneged on their give-and-take in addition to agreement. There could live cast activeness legal suits (against NYA signatories) flight virtually from the people who lost money trusting them. Why would they sully their reputation in addition to chance the wrath of these investors. Sticking to their give-and-take in addition to understanding is the most profitable in addition to safest course of pedagogy of action.
The Battle For Bitcoin Cash To Become Bitcoin Is Not over.
Bitcoin Cash is non an Alt Coin. It is withal inwards the running together amongst Segwit1X in addition to Segwit2X to live the existent Bitcoin. They all possess got the genesis block in addition to compete for the same hash power. The tussle betwixt Bitcoin Cash in addition to Segwit since the in conclusion fork is withal continuing. It has similar a shot morph into a tussle betwixt Bitcoin Cash, Segwit1X in addition to Segwit2X. In this coming fork Bitcoin Cash is non inwards the running for the championship of BTC because it is previous post. However, inwards the long run alone ane money tin ship away move on the Bitcoin proof of work. This has implications if you lot are a fund manager.
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